ABSTRACT

We live in a dangerous world. Numerous hazards can strike us down from infectious diseases and genetic disorders to food poisoning and car crashes. Furthermore, the advances in information technology enable consumers to be more aware of these problems as the latest data on new hazards is spun around the world in a matter of seconds.

As part of the opinion forming sector (as a think tank researcher and opinion editorial writer) Roger Bate has contributed to this information exchange. His writing over the past five years, as reflected in this book, has focussed on 5 key themes:

1. Hazards are as likely to come from natural as from man-made substances.
2. The linear no-threshold hypothesis is rubbish (i.e. the dose makes the poison).
3. An entire industry has developed to scare us into stopping certain activities, or making us feel guilty for continuing them, or lobbying to have them banned by government.
4. The public are quite capable of making decisions that involve complex trade-offs if only we would let them; indeed not letting them causes enormous problems as government bodies do not have the dispersed knowledge to do this, and are subject to interest group pressure.
5. There are innumerable benefits, as well as costs, from risk taking.

Most articles concerning risk avoid mentioning any of the above five themes.

The articles for this book were originally published in the Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Economic Affairs, and The Sunday Times. An introduction will draw all the articles together.

part |2 pages

Part One Junk Science-based Scares

chapter 1|1 pages

Holes in the ozone theory

chapter 2|2 pages

Is climate change a problem?

chapter 3|2 pages

The balance of the ozone debate

chapter 4|2 pages

Are we only half the men we used to be?

chapter 5|2 pages

Is nothing worse than tobacco?

chapter 6|2 pages

Rising fears about falling sperm counts

chapter 7|2 pages

The great forest ’rescue’

chapter 8|2 pages

Genes, nuts and vaccines

chapter 9|2 pages

Pesticides didn’t kill Sir James

chapter 10|1 pages

Ban Luddites, not chlorine

chapter 11|2 pages

Farmyard follies

chapter 13|2 pages

Chernobyl’s real victims

chapter 14|4 pages

The retreat from scientific reason

part |2 pages

Part Two How and Why Scares Develop

chapter 15|1 pages

A new religion?

chapter 16|2 pages

Coase’s lighthouse

chapter 17|2 pages

Balance and counterbalance

chapter 18|2 pages

Lessons from Brent Spar

chapter 19|1 pages

The search for safety

chapter 20|2 pages

Shell shouldn’t bow to environmentalists

chapter 21|2 pages

Damp, but not doomsday

chapter 23|2 pages

Post-environmentalism

chapter 24|2 pages

What some old bones in Britain can tell us

chapter 25|1 pages

Cry wolf is what Greens do best

chapter 26|2 pages

How the media short-change business

chapter 27|3 pages

Stop the madness

chapter 28|1 pages

Hysteria – a media-caused disease

chapter 29|3 pages

Statistical snake-oil

chapter 30|1 pages

Press release non-science

part |2 pages

Part Three Regulation and Rent-seeking

chapter 32|1 pages

What am I bid?

chapter 33|2 pages

Cambridge Water: What was missed

chapter 34|2 pages

Catastrophe insurers warm to the debate

chapter 36|3 pages

The Marlboro Man can’t make you smoke

chapter 37|2 pages

Fuel fossils: extinction exaggerated

chapter 38|2 pages

A tax scheme from the apartheid handbook

chapter 39|3 pages

Canada leaves Greenpeace red-faced

part |2 pages

Part Four The New Elite: International Science Bureaucracies

chapter 41|1 pages

Global warming: Apocalypse or hot air?

chapter 42|2 pages

Global warming: Don’t believe the hype

chapter 43|2 pages

The folly of environmental directives

chapter 44|3 pages

Rio set the bar too high

chapter 46|2 pages

Harbingers of hysteria

chapter 47|4 pages

The politicization of climate science

chapter 48|3 pages

Make way for big environment

chapter 49|2 pages

Another silly attack on a useful pesticide

chapter 50|2 pages

Growing the Green bureaucracy

chapter 51|2 pages

Global Greens

chapter 52|4 pages

Elites prosper at UN POPs meeting

part |2 pages

Part Five Trade-offs Not Solutions

chapter 53|1 pages

Conservation through commerce

chapter 54|2 pages

Better dead than bred

chapter 55|2 pages

Sustainable use of wildlife in Africa

chapter 56|1 pages

Guardians of Eden

chapter 57|3 pages

Trading in rhino horn helps conservation

chapter 58|1 pages

Don’t demonize technology

chapter 59|1 pages

Fear and precaution: A lethal mix?

chapter 60|2 pages

The origins of virtue

chapter 63|3 pages

Culling to be kind

chapter 64|2 pages

Speechless in Seattle

chapter 65|4 pages

Earth Report 2000