ABSTRACT

First published in 1998, this volume responded to the recent fall of the Soviet Union and looks at the process of transitioning away from Socialist economies, including case studies in the former Soviet Union, Poland, Hungary, China, East Germany and other Socialist countries. Taking the view that economic and political indicators suggest a lack of success in the post-Soviet transformation process, Kızılyallı argues that they have been unsuccessful due to poor planning. Kızılyallı notes an abandonment of the previous system and an ineffective implementation of market capitalism which have led to these negative outcomes. The new method developed herein provides a partial solution through estimating the correct exchange rate based on world prices and under conditions of macroeconomic equilibrium, while also allowing planning for sequencing market reforms. Reform issues are then discussed, followed by the reform experiences of Poland, Hungary, East Germany, China and the former Soviet Union. Lastly, developments in macroeconomic theory are reviewed in light of these case studies. Kızılyallı concludes that both neoclassical and new Keynesian theories fail to provide an economically meaningful framework for analysis of current economic and employment problems, nor for their cure.

chapter 2|12 pages

The proposed methodology

chapter 4|4 pages

Conclusion

chapter 5|66 pages

Points of clarification

chapter 8|10 pages

High inflation problem

chapter 9|8 pages

Dollarization

chapter 11|10 pages

Hardening the soft budget constraint

chapter 12|14 pages

The enterprise reform

chapter 13|10 pages

Privatization

chapter 14|14 pages

The Polish reform experience

chapter 15|6 pages

The Hungarian reform experience

chapter 16|16 pages

The East German experience

chapter 18|22 pages

Chinese reform experience

chapter 19|30 pages

The experience of the former Soviet Union

chapter 21|30 pages

Phillips curve trade-off

chapter 22|116 pages

A review of country experiences