ABSTRACT

This book presents an innovative model linking insights from democratization, development and conflict studies to explain personalist behavior and their violent transitions.

Based on multiple case studies from Sub Saharan Africa, the author maps and predicts regime transitions, presenting examples of how states can avoid such vicious circles of conflict and tyranny. By integrating decades of specialist literature from various subfields of political science, the book models personalist behavior, its impact on the states they govern, and their future transitions. By systematizing regime behavior (coup-proofing, gatekeeping, repression and hoarding), the model identifies the mechanics on how personalist regimes establish vicious circles of personalism and explains how exactly they end up again in authoritarianism or in new personalist tyrannies after their demise, and so seldom transition to democracy.

This book will be of key interest to scholars and students of African politics, democratization and democratic consolidation, authoritarian rule and more broadly to political science, comparative politics, area studies, political leadership, peace and conflict studies and development studies.

chapter |5 pages

Introduction

chapter 1|23 pages

A throne of bayonets

What is personalism and why does it matter?

chapter 2|28 pages

Fear and greed

Four pillars of personalist regime behavior

chapter 3|18 pages

Framing the vicious circle

Modeling transitions from personalist rule

chapter 4|35 pages

Divide and rule

Testing the relational aspects of the model

chapter 5|34 pages

Resource curses

Testing the functional aspects of the model

chapter 6|40 pages

Votes and violence

Testing the dysfunctional aspects of the model

chapter 7|34 pages

Findings on the impact of personalist rule

Comparing African cases and structuring causal factors

chapter 8|31 pages

Findings on vicious circles

Comparing post-personalist transitions

chapter 9|43 pages

Lessons from Africa

Personalism in comparative perspective

chapter |3 pages

Summary and final thoughts