ABSTRACT
SimDec is a revolution in decision-making support. SimDec “teases out” inherent cause-and-effect relationships and reveals the intricacy of relationships between sets of input and output variables. At its core, SimDec is an amalgamation of uncertainty and global sensitivity analysis with an innovative visualization technique. While straightforward and elegant, this novel approach significantly enhances the analytical capabilities of users by readily exposing seemingly, a priori, counterintuitive behaviours so that they can be readily understood by both technical specialists and non-technical users alike.
This book is the first to articulate the ubiquitous applicability of SimDec and has been written by the leading proponents of the technique. The book provides the necessary background to fully understand the underlying approach and then demonstrates its applicability to a wide spectrum of fields, such as finance, entrepreneurship, energy, 3D manufacturing, geology, the environment, engineering, public policy, and even superconducting magnets. To facilitate as widespread adoption and penetration of SimDec as possible, all supporting computer codes are available, open-source, in Python, Julia, R, and Matlab.
The innovative material will be of primary benefit to practitioners and researchers analyzing data from the social sciences, business, science, engineering, mathematics, and computing.
The Open Access version of this book, available at https://www.taylorfrancis.com, has been made available under a Creative Commons [Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives (CC-BY-NC-ND)] 4.0 license.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
part I|74 pages
Introduction
part II|87 pages
Applications: Business
chapter 4|16 pages
Unlocking actionability in financial modelling with Simulation Decomposition
chapter 5|23 pages
Unpacking the role of contextual factors in public support for mitigating revenue risk in public–private partnership projects
chapter 6|26 pages
Printing homes
chapter 7|20 pages
Where should we go? Deep tech market entry decisions through the lens of uncertainty
part III|91 pages
Applications: Environment
chapter 8|27 pages
Uncertainty considerations in life cycle assessment of COVID-19 masks
chapter 9|36 pages
Model fidelity analysis for sequential decision-making systems using Simulation Decomposition
chapter 10|26 pages
Upgrading the toolbox of techno-economic assessment with SimDec
part IV|74 pages
Applications: Engineering
chapter 11|26 pages
Capturing multi-dimensional nonlinear behaviour of a steel structure reliability model – global sensitivity analysis
part V|26 pages
Applications: Behavioural science
