ABSTRACT

What are the macroeconomic prospects for South Africa until the new millennium? Two methods of macroeconomic modelling, associated with the World Bank and IMF, are used here to generate three scenarios, based on moderately optimistic projections. The methodology used can be applied to other developing countries.

chapter 1|4 pages

Introduction

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chapter 2|14 pages

General Country Background

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chapter 3|15 pages

Accounting Framework and Base Year Data

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chapter 4|18 pages

Modelling Frameworks

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chapter 5|31 pages

Model Experiments

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chapter 6|24 pages

Base Run

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chapter 7|22 pages

Alternative Scenarios

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chapter 8|9 pages

Conclusion

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