ABSTRACT

Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science and Department of Biostatis-

tics, University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa, USA

Ying Zhang

Department of Biostatistics, University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa, USA

Lei Hua

Center for Biostatistics in AIDS Research, Harvard School of Public Health,

Boston, Massachusetts, USA

9.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 234

9.2 Consistent Information Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 238

9.3 Observed Information Matrix in Sieve MLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 242

9.4 Examples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 245

9.4.1 Cox Model for Interval-Censored Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 246

9.4.2 Poisson Proportional Mean Model for Panel Count

Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 251

9.5 Numerical Results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 253

9.5.1 Simulation Studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 253

234 Interval-Censored Time-to-Event Data: Methods and Applications

9.5.2 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 256

9.6 Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 258

Acknowledgments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 260

Appendix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 260

Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 264

In a regular parametric model, the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is

asymptotically normal with variance equal to the inverse of the Fisher infor-

mation, and the Fisher information can be estimated by the observed infor-

mation. This result provides large sample justification for the use of normal

approximation to the distribution of MLE. An important factor making this

approximation useful in statistical inference is that the observed information

can be readily computed and is consistent. In many situations, consistency of

the observed information follows directly from the law of large numbers and

consistency of MLE.