ABSTRACT

The point essential for the present discussion begins with this statement in the introduction: One major characteristic of the model that distinguishes it from most others built so far is that population size is generated endogenously [emphasis added] by a submodel that relates demographic variables to sociopolitical variables. For a better understanding of the magnitude of the figures under discussion concerning the food situation in Asia, as presented by the Bariloche model, the authors shall cite some figures from Mankind at the Turning Point, the so-called Second Club of Rome Report. We ought to keep in mind that Asia alone already contains close to 60 percent of the world's population, and there are still other developing regions, especially in Africa and in part in South America, with similarly growing populations and similarly increasing deficits of grain (and other food) production.