ABSTRACT

The often repeated statement, that given the initial conditions we know what a deterministic system will do far into the future, is false. Poincaré (1892) knew it was false, and we know it is false, in the following sense: given infinitesimally different starting points, we often end up with wildly different outcomes. Even with the simplest conceivable equations of motion, almost any non-linear system will exhibit chaotic behaviour. A familiar example is turbulence.