ABSTRACT

Displacement predication of landslide is very important in the control of landslide disaster. Considering the monotonously increasing character of time series of the landslide displacement, a new intelligent prediction method ton combine the Grey System and the Evolutionary Neural Network is proposed. Landslide is a very serious geological disaster. For there are lot of mountains in the west of China, as the progress of West Development Project in China, more and more landslide disasters will be encountered. But the landslide displacement is one monotonously increasing time series, so to predict this time series, the new method must be proposed. The different method is used to model the different section of displacement. And the whole forecasting capability is very well. At last, one real engineering example is used to verify this new algorithm, and the results are very well.