ABSTRACT

A close examination of the hidden biases and values of scientist-advocates and analysts discloses that underlying values are ripe for replacement or ratification by decision makers. This chapter presents means to expose these values in a manner that permits their rapid and rational consideration. It provides examples of how analysts can expose underlying values and deal with uncertainty. The chapter shows that uncertainty analysis can be the anvil upon which risk management information can be hammered into a sturdy decision tool. When knowledge about the nature of uncertainty is included in analyses in a overt manner, decision makers can often place greater reliance on the outcome of analysis. The argument opponents make to limit the use of risk management data is to attack risk assessment itself, in the main by highlighting the uncertainties inherent in risk assessment.