ABSTRACT
This study built a risk index system and assessment model based on risk assessment theory, for the complex natural environment threats faced by ship navigation on the 21st-century Maritime Silk Road. Then, taking into account the risk of high winds, the study predicted a disaster risk assessment test based on previous meteorological and hydrological data, terrestrial elevation data and relevant shipping report information. The results show that, in winter, the risk of high winds for ship navigation is relatively higher in most areas around the South China Sea and especially around the Taiwan Strait and the Bashi Strait, while the risk is generally below medium level in the Indian Ocean. In summer, the risk of high winds is relatively higher in most areas around the Arabian Sea, and especially in the northeast of Somalia, while it is usually below medium level in other areas.
