ABSTRACT

A potential consequence of global warming is the acceleration of the hydrological cycle, which may manifest itself in the form of increased precipitation and land evaporation. In a warming world, differential heating between land and oceans and between polar and tropical regions will affect global circulation patterns and thereby change the intensity, frequency and seasonality of climate patterns and distribution of extreme weather events. The importance of sub-seasonal extended range forecasts was primarily appreciated by the hydro-climatic and agro-meteorological stakeholders when the experimental forecasts were released earlier in pseudo-operational mode. The chapter discusses the importance of satellite and re-analysis based monitoring and model based prediction system in real-time monitoring and disaster management. The application of extended range prediction system for the prediction of monsoon heavy rainfall during south west monsoon, extended breaks, tropical cyclones and extreme rainfall events during north east monsoon will be discussed.