ABSTRACT
Faced with deteriorating environmental problems dominated by global warming, China is committed to reaching carbon dioxide emissions peak by 2030. This paper proposes a unified structure of emission-oriented scenario analysis based on long-range energy alternatives planning (LEAP) theory at a provincial level which is suitable for regions in China. Numerical analysis is conducted with the example of Jiangsu province under three benchmark scenarios: basic scenario, target scenario, and enhanced scenario. The results reveal the variation trend of carbon emissions from different sectors and demonstrate the feasible path of low-carbon transformation in Jiangsu from 2020 to 2060.
