ABSTRACT

Tropical cyclones are large-scale low-pressure systems that form over warm tropical and subtropical waters. These low-pressure systems are characterized by high-speed surface wind circulation, rotating spirals of thick clouds, heavy rain, and surges, sometimes reaching a height of 10 meters. Tropical cyclones are one of the most destructive meteorological disasters due to their high damaging capacity both through strong winds and flooding. To minimize economic loss and save human lives, meteorologists have developed a range of techniques for forecasting cyclone track. The most common techniques employ statistical and mathematical equations to integrate the movement pattern of historical cyclones with the recently observed movement of the current cyclone. Alternatively, forecasting techniques can focus on the forces responsible for cyclone motion to produce track forecast. These techniques have enabled meteorological offices to warn people living in the affected areas before cyclone impact and reduce the losses created by cyclones.