ABSTRACT

Where s is number of successful trials. To facilitate the calculations formula (1), it often

is taken the logarithm on both side yields:

ln ( ) l ( ) ( )L C f Rl f Rlnn f= n +n (2)

To derive R, let the equation result be zero, the likelihood equation is obtained:

d L dR

n f R

f R

( )R = −

=

1 0 (3)

The maximum likelihood estimate of the reliability R is obtained by solving the likelihood equation:

R n f n

= (4)

When the total number of tests “n” is constant, the reliability R of the component is monotonous with the test success number expressed as “s”. For the test data (n – f, n), the lower credible limit of product reliability which is expressed as “RL” can be obtained by the formula (5) when the confidence is γ.