ABSTRACT

The future development of the concept of comparative environmental quantitative risk assessment will take many different directions in the future. This chapter explores two potential directions for future development. One of the potential new directions is the development of a theory of quantitative risk assessment. Another thought that is receiving much attention is that of using the existing information and data, along with the needed assumptions to complete the development of risk-based management. The chapter considers overlaying the variables that are involved in risk management, the groups that use risk assessments, and the uses to which the analysis is put. The variables include: comparative quantitative risk, economics, politics, and the social and psychological impact. The groups involved include Congress, the public, environmental groups, regulatory agencies, industry, academe, and the news media. The uses include resource allocation, development of regulations, and research priorities.