ABSTRACT

Experience teaches that mitigation is an important part of preparing for disaster. Governments once devoted most of their resources to response and recovery from disasters in an ad hoc fashion. Eventually, they learned that devoting some resources to protection and vulnerability reduction before disaster strikes can save lives and property in the long run. These activities are forms of mitigation, and they promise to be an important

Introduction 309 Mitigation Strategy at DHS 310 Risk versus Uncertainty 312 Uncertainty and Terrorism 313 All Hazards and Dual Use 314 Can Intelligence Improve Mitigation? 315

Mapping 315 Risk Assessment 316

Intelligence 317 Hardened Targets 317 Protecting Infrastructure 318 Mitigation beyond Hardening Targets 319 Mitigation and the Private Sector 319 Resource Allocation 321

Allocate to the Worst Case 321 Allocate to the Greatest Risks 322

States and Localities 323 Summary 325 Acknowledgments 325 Notes 325

part of countering the threat of jihadist terrorism just as they are an important part of preparing for natural disasters.