ABSTRACT

A probabilistic model is a statistical analysis tool that estimates, on the basis of past (historical) data, the probability of an event occurring again using a stochastic

Contents 5.1 Introduction .............................................................................................105 5.2 Probabilistic Models [2]............................................................................106 5.3 Dynamic Social Networks [3] ..................................................................113 5.4 Small-World Models [5] ........................................................................... 115 5.5 Large-Scale Models [4, 6] .........................................................................121 5.6 Conclusion ...............................................................................................125 References .........................................................................................................126

process, which is a statistical process involving a number of random variables depending on a variable parameter (which is usually time). ˆe probabilistic model typically uses diŽerent hypotheses such as the individual interest factor, the group behavior factor, and the time lapse factor.