ABSTRACT
For forecasting the stability of a tailing dam the prognostic model based on the theory of fuzzy models of logic and linguistic ones in particular (Lolaev, 2006) was adopted.
The algorithm of construction of fuzzy model with use of linguistic variables looks as follows:
1. Definition of factor’s space of the investigated phenomenon;
2. Delimitation of opposite scale and terms under each factor;
3. Preparation of a matrix of interrogation; 4. Coding of the factors – LV (translation in to the
metrics); 5. Account of polynomial factors using the method of
the least squares;
6. Estimation of a mistake of numerical experiment; 7. Estimation of the importance of polynomial
factors; 8. Estimation of polynomial adequacy to an expert
estimation of the investigated phenomenon; 9. Estimation of adequacy of the received model to
the investigated phenomenon;
The algorithm of construction of adequate forecasting model is submitted in Figure 1.
