ABSTRACT

The DARPA Integrated Crisis Early Warning System (ICEWS) has been a four year effort to develop a comprehensive, integrated, automated, generalizable, and validated system to monitor, assess, and forecast national, sub-national, and international crises in a way that supports decisions on how to allocate resources to mitigate them. Lockheed Martin Advanced Technology Laboratories has been leading a multidisciplinary team to address this objective. This paper chronicles the DARPA ICEWS effort, specifically the transition of research components to operational users and describes the process followed for testing and evaluation with both USPACOM and USSOUTHCOM and the acceptance and transition to the Integrated Strategic Planning and Analysis Network (ISPAN) program of record at USSTRATCOM in spring of 2012. The paper also gives suggestions and lessons learned for transitioning future human, social, behavioral, and cultural systems.