ABSTRACT

Extreme climate events can have significant social consequences. Successful response planning must therefore leverage both environmental and social impact models. Here, we present the results of integrating such models in the context of a reconstruction program in Afghanistan. We demonstrate how two climate events – severe rainfall that hinders a road construction project, and drought that causes poor crop harvests – can both influence opinions toward various actors, such as coalition forces, the Afghan government, and the Taliban, and response planning based on these anticipated opinion changes.