ABSTRACT
Keywords: Verification, Validation, sensitivity analysis, genetic algorithms,
1. INTRODUCTION
The NOEM is a large-scale stochastic simulator of models representing the environments of nation-states or regions along with a set of capabilities which allow one to exercise/explore the models. The NOEM supports two mission flows: (1) a prospective look at the future and investigation into reducing potential country/region instabilities and (2) ramifications of actions or events. The NOEM enables the user to identify potential problem regions within the environment, test a wide variety of policy options on a national or regional basis, determine suitable courses of action(s) and investigate resource allocation levels that will best improve overall country or regional stability. The different policy options or actions are simulated, revealing potential unforeseen effects and general trends. The NOEM also allows users to identify points of impact and rings of degradation to examine the ramifications or impacts that have been or could be created by actions or events.
