ABSTRACT

The European Programme on Critical Infrastructure Protection (EPCIP) of the European Commission is in search for a methodology to analyse economic losses following from Critical Infrastructure failure in the European Union. Therefore, a federated Systems Engineering and Dynamic Inoperability Input-Output Model (SE-DIIM) is being developed. The systems engineering model analyses the performance degradation and recovery of an infrastructure system resulting from a disruption. Both geographical (automatically extracted from the network topology) and functional (type and behavior of the network) (inter)dependencies are taken into account. Moreover, the model is applied for both sector and cross-sector critical infrastructures. To illustrate the functioning of the model, assuming a hypothetical disruptive event in Europe, the model is applied to a system of Critical Infrastructures. Based on the event scenario, the model is able to predict the effect of the disruption on the critical infrastructure system.