ABSTRACT

ABSTRACT: Water Distribution System (WDS) is one of the basic technological systems belonging to the underground infrastructure which has a priority importance for people’s lives. In water distribution system operation we deal with events that can cause breaks in water supply or water pollution. For purposes of this paper operational reliability of the WDS is defined as the ability to supply a constant flow of water for various groups of consumers, with a specific quality and a specific pressure, according to consumers demands, in the specific operational conditions, at any or at specific time and safety of the WDS means the ability of the system to safely execute its functions in a given environment. The main aim of this paper is to present a method for the risk management using Bayesian process. The proposed method made it possible to estimate the risks associated with the possibility of partial or total loss of the ability of water supply system operation.

1 INTRODUCTION