ABSTRACT

Vector-borne diseases have been and are a considerable concern for the public and the military as they have significant health and economic impacts. Infectious diseases are responsible for approximately 25% of human deaths worldwide and two-thirds of childhood deaths. Emerging zoonotic infectious diseases have the potential to be significant burdens on US public health, the economy, military readiness and effectiveness, and the intended and unintended spread of important and competent disease vectors may represent a significant risk to a range of vulnerable subpopulations. The predominant approach to predicting vector species dynamics is to develop mathematical models that incorporate varying degrees of complexity and stochasticity or variability. The impact of human density on risk could be altered by utilizing demographic or economic data to differentially weight the density layer. Understanding, predicting, and managing disease risk are critical to maintain public health and, for the military, to maintain readiness and limit casualties.