ABSTRACT

This statement has become the cornerstone of macroeconomic policy advice dispensed to all developing and transitional economies. It also constitutes the raison d’être for the primacy of inflation control, as well as the stabilization and structural adjustment programmes of the 1980s, and the associated liberalization of financial markets. But as we all know, with hindsight, this view (generally described as the Washington consensus) ignored the need for prudential regulation of the financial sector as a prerequisite for sound monetary policy. The converse is equally true: stable monetary policies are needed if an efficient financial sector is to flourish. Simple (or simple-minded) capital account liberalization, as part of a strategy of integration into the global economy, has become discredited in the wake of the Asian crisis of 1997 (see Rodrik 1998). In addition, it is recognized that monetary policy reform geared to controlling inflation will not benefit the economy fully unless and until the private financial sector is well functioning. Also in the presence of many other distortions in the economy, financial liberalization may be undesirable, due to second-best considerations. The over-arching problem lies in the weak nature of institutions and the type of strategic interaction between the state and various groups in developing countries (LDCs).