ABSTRACT

The environmental movement is multifarious and rapidly changing. The aim of this chapter is not to predict its future, but to chart some prominent trends and suggest scenarios and dimensions of change that will likely be useful when considering its development. The scenarios – radical transformation, business as usual, and collapse – help us envision changes in the movement’s context in the future and are also of heuristic value since different movement currents orient themselves to different scenarios. The dimensions of change are those of social justice, post-apocalypse, and emergency action. These concern not the context but how the movement itself may change. I exemplify them with developments taking place today and argue that they all represent challenges to the far-reaching institutionalization that the movement has gone through in many countries in recent decades. I conclude by returning to the three scenarios and make some tentative suggestions about how the three dimensions of change interrelate with each of them.