ABSTRACT

This chapter addresses several themes which emanate from an intelligence post mortem. The United States invasion of Grenada in October 1983 provided a dramatic illustration of policymaking without intelligence. An Indications and warning (I&w) stocktaking of the Grenada case Involves issues linked to both military and political intelligence. Intelligence information well before the US invasion showed evidence of extensive Cuban involvement. The political Intentions underlying military capabilities are a distinct--and vital--element of the I&W analytical equation. The policymakers assumed that the Intentions were offensive in nature. Political Intelligence can be of critical importance for policymaking. A clear understanding of the dynamics and trends of political processes within a, foreign country provides an indispensable foundation for decision choice and action. One interpretation of any intelligence failure would indict "foolish intelligence" as the culprit. The struggle for power obviously accelerated in the several months prior to the coup and invasion.