ABSTRACT

This chapter presents a review of alternative forecasts about the future(s) of the continent, which might inform Africa’s international negotiators and national planners. The forecasts all point to a difficult period for Africa’s peoples and rulers and for institutions dealing with Africa. Separate models were employed for developed and developing regions, and the latter was divided into three groups based on geographic location—Latin America, Africa, and Asia. The major oil-exporting countries were thus grouped together, as were the “tropical” and “arid” African countries. The Leontief study yields a substantial number of conclusions, and it would be worthwhile to emphasize certain aspects of them. The combination of internal opposition and external example may come to pose a serious challenge to the comfortable collaboration of many established regimes with international capitalist institutions, and it may be a particular threat to the logic of the semiperiphery.