ABSTRACT
In addition to domestic political and economic processes and international economic transactions, any group of nations is also engaged in a network of international political relations. The cooperative and conflictual interactions which compose this web of international relationships are not the random occurrences they sometimes appear to be, but are the deliberated decisions of national governments. This chapter describes the development of a model of a nation's foreign policy-making process and the bilateral flows of cooperation and hostility it produces. In keeping with GLOBUS' long-term, macro-focus, the model is not intended to project tomorrow's diplomatic expulsions or treaties, but instead the larger and more lasting changes in both the cooperative and conflictual relations between countries. Large-scale international political developments, rather than specific diplomatic events, are the proper focus of this model.
