ABSTRACT

Sea level rise due to climate change makes coastal populations more susceptible to flood risks. The use of land change prediction modeling to inform scenario-based design has been shown to help increase capabilities when dealing with uncertainties in urban growth and flood risk. In this project, the Land Transformation Model was used to predict urban growth for Tampa, FL, USA to help adapt future urban growth for increased resilience through decreased flood risk and pollutant load. To achieve this, a resilient master plan was developed and its probable impact was assessed using the Long-Term Hydrologic Impact Analysis Low Impact Development Spreadsheet as a performance model, and compared to current conditions and growth patterns.