ABSTRACT

This chapter provides a study which identifies the spatial transmission patterns of economic impulses as manifested in new job offers, an indicator of local labour demand levels, within the Northern Kyushu district. The pattern of fluctuations in the series given in the study is similar to the typical pattern of movement in new job offers for Japan as a whole. Research on regional economic impulses has been undertaken since the 1940s, mainly in the UK and the United States. Since the early 1970s, several quantitative studies have explored the geographical patterns of economic fluctuations, the inter-area transmission of fluctuations and their associated lead-lag relationships, and the impact of national economic fluctuations upon specific areas. The emphasis in this work has been on the quantitative analysis of economic impulses, but the findings have generally been interpreted in the context of the industrial composition of the area concerned. R. J. Bennett analysed regional economic cycles using autoregressive moving average (ARMA) techniques.