ABSTRACT

This study seeks the causes of variation in the amount of migration to Chinese cities over the period 1995-99. We use a city fixed-effect model with lagged values of ‘pulling’ factors for each city. While wage income shows no significant influence on migration, per capita gross city income does, suggesting that migrants seek returns above and beyond mere wages. Our regression results show that cities with high ratios in the manufacturing and service sectors grow most rapidly. We find that the developmental environment and the job creation potential of the private sector, indicated by the number of proprietors per capita, makes a significant difference in attracting migrants. Except for government fiscal expenditures, we find that the attributes of the quality of urban life, such as housing-market conditions and transportation, have little explanatory power.