ABSTRACT
The main difficulty in Historical Foresight is the power of collecting and selecting the facts relevant to the particular type of forecast which people wish to make. Discussions on the method of science wander off onto the topic of experiment. The general topic to be understood is the entire internal functioning of human society, including its technologies, the biological and physical laws on which these technologies depend, and including the sociological reactions of humans depending on fundamental psychological principles. In fact, the general topic is sociology in the broadest sense of the term, including its auxiliary sciences. Society requires stability, foresight itself presupposes stability, and stability is the product of routine. Philosophy is not a mere collection of noble sentiments. A deluge of such sentiments does more harm than good. Philosophy is at once general and concrete, critical and appreciative of direct intuition.
