ABSTRACT

The main conceptions of confirmation and probability within logical empiricism are analyzed, distinguishing the logical conception of probability favored in the Vienna Circle by Carnap and Waismann and the frequentist conception of probability favored by Reichenbach in Berlin and by Richard von Mises. This chapter compares the two approaches before showing how Carnap put his logical and semantic conception of probability to use in an explication of confirmation in his later work on inductive logic. The chapter then analyzes the reception of his inductive logic from Salmon to Jon Williamson and discusses which aspects of it still possess contemporary relevance.