ABSTRACT

The model described by Mooz was built as part of The Rand Corporation study of “The Growing Demand for Energy” for the National Science Foundation and as part of a study for the California Resources Agency. Although the model described was built specifically for California, it can be readily adapted to other states, regions, or the nation. Rationale for the construction of the model is provided by a discussion of existing forecasting methods used by utilities and the difficulties of aggregation which they present.