ABSTRACT

This chapter discusses the fundamentals of analysis for the purposes of intervention outlined in the earlier text, namely, the types of analyses that need to be undertaken to inform decisions about how, where and when to intervene to reduce and prevent crime. It describes what is meant by ‘intervention’ in terms of preventing crime and how this concept translates into different types of activity and decision-making. The chapter examines a new framework, supported by the College of Policing, for judging the robustness of research evidence on ‘what works’ in crime prevention and makes the case for adopting a systematic approach for translating the findings from analyses into recommendations for action on the ground. It explores different forms of analysis for intervention as part of a fairly broadly defined ‘crime prevention intervention process’. The power of prospective hot-spotting can be demonstrated just by applying statistical models to recorded crime data.