ABSTRACT

This chapter describes the methodology used in the workshop, which combines a strategic scenario analysis with Delphi questionnaires. It describes a short overview of the foresight methodology, with a focus on scenario analysis and Delphi questionnaires followed by the description of the foresight methodology. The analysis of the trade-off is the main scope of the Decision Support System (DSS) that was developed in the framework of the BRIDGE project. The scenario analysis method is probably one of the most widely used methods in foresight, and it is used in decision making in the business and government spheres. The results of the sensitivity analysis showed that it is a good idea to regroup the indicators in more well-balanced dimensions, instead of having several environmental criteria, which reduces the capacity of the DSS to respond to changes in socio-economic variables and artificially increase the environmental component of the political decision.