ABSTRACT
The projections blasted across the pages of American newspapers in September 2000: Gore to win easily, the stories said. Models carefully tested by political scientists indicated that the election would not be close. Gore would receive 52.8 to 60.3% of the votes cast for the Republican and Democratic tickets (Kaiser, 2001). The political science models factored in approval ratings of the incumbent president and voter satisfaction with the economy, the latter running in the ozone during the summer of 2000.
