ABSTRACT

The purpose of this chapter is to highlight the differences between malaria risk and what is calculated by MIASMA, the climate change–health impact model cited extensively in assessments by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC; see Chapter 1). The MIASMA model does not actually calculate malaria risk but transmission potential (TP). In this chapter, I examine TP—its meaning, assumptions, and limitations—and argue that TP calculations can capture only part of malaria risk.