ABSTRACT

The social movement progresses to the last round of the repeated games, at which point the newly created social system appears to develop a fourth property, namely, an information gap between the movement and the state, with bloody confrontation as the Nash equilibrium. This chapter provides answers that help to explain what really took place behind the military crackdown in the last stage of the movement's development. The information gap is what makes bloody confrontation the Nash equilibrium in the final game, and it is what generates unintended outcomes of social movements. Bloody confrontation in the final game is therefore the price that is paid for closing the information gap. When credibility is low, a state's threats may be ignored, and an information gap between the state and movement emerges. The movement's development is a process in which participants continually revise their beliefs, and it is also a process in which government forms its credibility.