ABSTRACT
There are a couple other methods to cheat in an election, both are examined in this chapter. One method is differential invalidation; the other, ballot box stuffing. Both methods leave evidence that can be detected using regression. This chapter examines methods for detecting that evidence, using the 2010 Ivoirian presidential election that led to a flare-up in their civil war.
Specifically, this chapter looks at four regression methods that can test for both: ordinary least squares regression, weighted least squares regression, binomial regression, and beta-binomial regression. The first is typically taught in introductory statistics courses, so it may be familiar. The other three are more advanced in their mathematics, though not in their application here. The computer allows us to select the best method without having to worry about the internal calculations that must be done.
