ABSTRACT

The review of the Nile River Basin modelling studies for planning and management concluded that some of the models use time series that are too short given the natural climate variation and their findings can therefore be misleading. Most models point at the basin-wide benefits of reservoir developments, the increased hydropower production potential and the possible expansion of irrigated agriculture enabled by these reservoirs. Climate change is a recurring theme in most studies, but studies come to sometimes diametrically opposing conclusions. Hydropower generation would increase in Sudan and insignificantly change in Egypt, when the system is operated in a cooperative manner. Most of the new large dams in the Eastern Nile are designed for hydropower generation. Non-cooperative system management would negatively impact the hydro-energy of Egypt over the cooperative management scenario, without a significant increase in Ethiopian hydro-energy.