ABSTRACT

Given the universal and common nature of transport as it functions in the country’s public and economic domain, it was assumed that the effects of epidemic threats should be analysed on a nationwide scale. Based on complete disclosure and mathematic formalisation, this method is suitable for application against any chosen criteria. The author has also proposed an interesting data estimation solution, which proves particularly helpful in the absence of detailed real-life data on the transport sector, based on case studies, process maps and chains of events. This method can be applied to any other epidemic, yet this would require compilation of a similar set of data characterising the given epidemic and appropriate adjustment of the values of the relevant indicators, including activity and mortality.