ABSTRACT

The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) [186, 189] states that all information available about a financial asset is already re­ flected in its price, and that therefore, no other information can be gathered that will lead to useful predictions. Claims of su­ perior returns by some portfolio managers are conciliated in the EMH picture by the Capital Asset Pricing Model, stating that these managers are simply receiving, on average, a premium for accepting a higher level of risk. According to EMH, attempts to time the market are a waste of time.