ABSTRACT
Expert opinion is divided about when the first artificial general intelligence (AGI) might be created. Elon Musk has made a name for himself as a Cassandra about artificial intelligence, with remarks about working on AGI being akin to summoning the demon, and how humans might turn out to be just the boot loader for digital superintelligence. One of the people who has done most to raise awareness of the risks presented by artificial intelligence is Elon Musk, the South African-born, American entrepreneur. Many sensible people become suspicious when they hear the phrase exponential growth: they fear it used as a cover for wishful thinking. Others question how long Gordon Moore's law can continue. Many serious experts think that AGI could be with twentieth century, and if Moore's law continues for another decade or so then very dramatic developments are possible.
