ABSTRACT

Although the general concept of conditioning of the preceding chap-

ter is abstractly shown to be well defined and has all the desirable

properties, actual computation of conditional probabilities satisfying

the Kolmogorov definition is a nontrivial task. In this chapter it is

shown that, in cases when the conditioning event has probability zero,

there are real problems of well posedness to use the L’Hoˆpital rule of

evaluation, and the latter method leads to surprising paradoxes. These

come from natural applications and are exemplified with works of Borel,

and Kac and Slepian. Methods of resolution of these difficulties and the

reasons for such ambiguities in the first place as well as the appropriate

procedures for correct solutions through the differentiation theory are

presented here in considerable detail. For a class of regular conditional

probabilities, unambiguous computational methods can be given and

these will be presented in Chapter 5 where a thorough discussion of

regularity is undertaken.