Introduction

Introduction............................................................................................................135 What Is the Question? ...........................................................................................135 Building the Contributing-Factor Diagrams .........................................................137 Risk-Model Equations ...........................................................................................139 Populating the Model with Technical Data...........................................................146 Chances of Abject Failure .....................................................................................147 Populating the Model with Financial Data ...........................................................148 Results from the Model.........................................................................................152 So, So What? .........................................................................................................158