ABSTRACT

Because during his college years he had many disagreements with the results of conventional meteorological science and in terms of the useful value of a scientific technique, and because he and his classmates did not learn any reliable methods for practically predicting weather conditions, Shoucheng OuYang left the profession of weather forecasting, majoring in meteorology, after 5 years of college. However, fate tends to go in the opposite direction of wishes. In the second year after college (1963), a major flood caused by torrential rains occurred in the northern China. Considering the fact that he had majored in meteorology at the top-ranked university, his boss arranged for OuYang to look into this natural event for the purpose of predicting whether or not such a disaster could possibly occur at the upper reaches of Songhua River. If possible, then the dam located at Songhua Lake could potentially collapse. Knowing his true ability to predict zero-probability disastrous weather conditions, OuYang helplessly accepted this assignment by starting to collect relevant data and information.