ABSTRACT

Additionally,demandprobabilitydistributionsdeterminedonalocal scalecouldbeusedtosetthecorrecttariffforaparticular station.

Figurel.Consumption,resourcesandactionplanning.

Therelativelyhighfittedaccuracyofthemodelreliestoanextent onareasonablyconsistentclimateduringtheweek.Whereprolonged climaticdifferentialsarepresentthenthemodelwillgivean underestimatedvalue.Forexample,whenthetemperaturedrops suddenlythedemandrespondsmoreslowly,probablyduetodelaysin gardenwatering.